We expect volatility to remain high for the next two to three months as our fragile economy absorbs some recent disappointments. Learn more:
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How Policy Uncertainty May Have Caused Latest U.S. Correction | Morgan Stanley
See four non-U.S. markets that may have advantages over the S&P 500, in part due to changes brought by the COVID-19 recession:
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The Case for Non-U.S. Stocks | Morgan Stanley
See three reasons why market leadership is likely to shift in the next few months and how to prepare your portfolio. For the latest on the markets and the economy, read Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer Lisa Shalett’s weekly commentary:
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Make Way for New Market Leadership | Morgan Stanley
MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes that the bull market is intact, but the breadth of the rally has deteriorated since June. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives September 2020 - 1369081
A recent shift in Fed policy could fuel inflation over the intermediate term. So far markets are ignoring the risks, but that may change. Learn more:
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Why the Fed’s Inflation Shift is a Big Deal | Morgan Stanley
Fueled by excess liquidity from the Fed, we’re now in the midst of an “everything rally,” where Treasury prices have soared at the same time as stock indices and gold are achieving record highs. Learn why such correlations are worrisome:
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3 Market Disconnects Worth Watching | Morgan Stanley
Trading corrections is difficult so the best approach may be to ride it out, says Morgan Stanley & Co. CIO Mike Wilson. Read more:
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While stocks have grown more volatile as the election approaches, interest rates have barely budged. That may not last once the election outcome is clear. Here’s why:
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An Election Investing Strategy from Now to November | Morgan Stanley
MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson notes that although the bull market appears intact, investor sentiment has remained remarkably skeptical. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives October 2020 - 1384238
The U.S. stock market is lurching between bursts of exuberance and bouts of doubt and anxiety. See three temporary concerns that are likely contributing to this trading range:
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Could U.S. Markets Soon Get Unstuck? | Morgan Stanley
China could represent an attractive long-term strategic investment opportunity. Here’s why:
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3 Reasons Investors Shouldn’t Overlook China’s Economic Rebound | Morgan Stanley
We expect two major unknowns to be resolved soon: the election and the approval of a COVID-19 vaccine. Here’s what that means for markets:
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MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes we're in a new cyclical bull market in the context of a long-term secular bull market. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives November 2020 - 1397886
Even with news outlets naming Joe Biden the President-elect, headlines about the transition of power will likely contribute to volatility. Here’s what investors should do:
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Election 2020: Investors Should Focus on the Big Picture | Morgan Stanley
Despite a strong first half of November, the S&P 500 may not break out of its current range until more uncertainty lifts. Here’s why it’s a good idea to keep an eye on the yield curve:
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What the Yield Curve May Be Trying to Tell Investors | Morgan Stanley
In the next few months, positive catalysts are likely to dominate the economic outlook. See three signs of light at the end of the 2020 tunnel:
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Seeing Light at the End of the Tunnel | Morgan Stanley
While there is near-term risk of a pullback, CIO Mike Wilson sees a 10% gain for the S&P 500 in 2021. See why in On the Markets:
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See four reasons why an economic surge in the U.S. early next year will likely lead to a rotation in market leadership:
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Preparing Your Portfolio for a “Coiled Spring” Economy | Morgan Stanley
There are increasing signs that positive catalysts that led stocks to new highs may be fully priced in U.S. markets. See three key examples:
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Searching for New U.S. Stock Market Catalysts | Morgan Stanley
MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes we should remain bullish long term due to improving economic data and positive earnings revisions, which support his expectations for a V-Shaped recovery. Learn more.
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GIC Investment Perspectives December 2020 - 1410657
The financial sector is among our top ideas for 2021. Here’s why:
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5 Reasons to Consider Investing in Financials in 2021 | Morgan Stanley
Even though economic bright spots are emerging, investors should be cautious since stock market valuations seem to be running ahead of fundamentals.
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Preparing for a Post Pandemic Market | Morgan Stanley
Stocks may seem elevated, but we believe this bull market has a long way to run in time and price. Learn more:
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Recent election outcomes point to less gridlock ahead in D.C., which could prompt economic reflation and sector rotation. Learn more:
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3 Takeaways from a More Unified Government | Morgan Stanley
MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes the Fed's unprecedented response, in conjunction with Congress, has driven a remarkable recovery from the depths of this recession. Learn more:
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Emerging markets are up nearly 30% in the past three months. See why we think more gains are ahead, especially in Asia:
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5 Reasons Emerging Markets Are Just Getting Started | Morgan Stanley
Even though last year’s “stay at home” winners outperformed in January, we suggest investors emphasize less expensive stocks tied to the post-pandemic economic recovery. Here’s why:
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Keep Your Eyes on the Recovery | Morgan Stanley
As we saw in January, an increase in speculative trading can fuel gains as well as losses. Read more in On the Markets:
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New bull markets typically begin when a recession has ended and usually run for years not months, says MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives February 2021 - 1430381
Investors may feel especially whipsawed between optimism and disappointment this year since economic recovery is dependent on a new factor: vaccine rollout.
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Understanding the Volatility Playbook | Morgan Stanley
Widespread agreement about where the economy and markets are heading may set up risks for later this year. Here’s why:
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Consensus on Recovery Could Lead to Market Instability | Morgan Stanley
The biggest risk to equities and other long-duration risk assets will come from the interest rate channel, says MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives March 2021 - 1439432
Nominal GDP growth could be nearly 10% in 2021, but comparisons get tough in 2022 with growth estimates falling below 3%.
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Are We Nearing Peak Growth? | Morgan Stanley
If inflation rises faster than expected, the Fed may need to adjust its ultra-dovish policy stance. Here’s why:
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Rising Rates May Signal Market Shifts Ahead | Morgan Stanley
Interest rates tend to be slower to react to positive events than stocks, which helps explain why rates are rising lately. Read more in On the Markets:
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The recent sell-off in emerging markets may have created an opportunity to add selectively to China allocations in portfolios. Here's why:
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China’s Sell-Off May Be an Opportunity | Morgan Stanley
