Why gridlock on the next U.S stimulus package—combined with election year uncertainty—suggests there could be more downside in September and October.
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Could the Correction Continue Further? | Morgan Stanley
As COVID-19 vaccine development continues in phase three studies, the logistics of FDA approvals, production and the complex hurdles of distribution are taking shape.
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Why Vaccine Discovery Is Just the Beginning | Morgan Stanley
How to explain the steady, almost mechanical rise in markets despite often weak economic data? It may come down to expectations and trend lines.
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Are Markets Really “Disconnected”? | Morgan Stanley
Just how big would a state and local U.S. stimulus package need to be to support a V-shaped recovery and avoid credit downgrades?
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How Much Aid Do State/Local Governments Need? | Morgan Stanley
China’s recovery could be progressing better than markets expected as consumers spend more money onshore and the nation’s export engine gains market share.
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China’s Next Phase: Recovery, Reshoring, Retaining | Morgan Stanley
Could a new $1 trillion stimulus deal make its way through the halls of Congress before the summer recess? Why the likelihood of a deal is increasing.
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Coronavirus: Why Another Stimulus Deal is Likely | Morgan Stanley
With mixed signals coming from the White House and Congress, should investors be concerned about no further stimulus? Why there may still be good news.
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Should Investors Prepare for No Stimulus? | Morgan Stanley
With a U.S. fiscal stimulus deal looking more likely, the risk of long-term interest rates moving higher has now increased—a shift that could benefit recovery stocks.
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Near-term Correction; Long-term Recovery? | Morgan Stanley
MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson notes that although the bull market appears intact, investor sentiment has remained remarkably skeptical. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives October 2020 - 1384238
Do tech-driven energy efficiencies—coupled with a shift in environmental attitudes—mean oil demand will fail to recover to pre-COVID levels?
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The New Definition of “Peak Oil”? | Morgan Stanley
What is the road ahead for global markets between now and inauguration day? The answer may fall into two categories: straightaways and detours. Part one of a special two-part episode.
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U.S. Election 2020: Straightaways and Detours | Morgan Stanley
In part two of our special election episode, we look at the policies that could potentially come out of divided party control among the White House, Senate and House, and how they might impact markets.
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U.S. Election 2020: Divided Government Scenarios | Morgan Stanley
Although some volatility may lie ahead, the end of the U.S. election cycle and progress on a potential coronavirus vaccine may bring some optimism to markets.
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Is the Worst of the Correction Over? | Morgan Stanley
We expect two major unknowns to be resolved soon: the election and the approval of a COVID-19 vaccine. Here’s what that means for markets:
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MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes we're in a new cyclical bull market in the context of a long-term secular bull market. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives November 2020 - 1397886
All eyes are on the U.S. Presidential race as markets also weigh climbing coronavirus cases in the U.S., fiscal stimulus uncertainty and October’s jobs report.
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Markets Parse Election Results, Jobs Report | Morgan Stanley
Amid the uncertainty, three topics should be front of mind for investors: implications of a divided government, the path to fiscal stimulus and tax changes.
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Why the Election Just Got Trickier | Morgan Stanley
Although the U.S. faces a challenging winter, vaccine availability and momentum could propel the economy to expand an impressive 6% in 2021. The outlook for investors.
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Special Episode: 2021 U.S. Outlook | Morgan Stanley
As Thanksgiving approaches in the U.S., it’s worth taking a moment to be thankful for potential vaccines, a remarkably resilient economy and the strength of the human spirit.
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Giving Thanks for a Brighter 2021 | Morgan Stanley
Global economies are set for next phase of a V-shaped recovery in both developed and emerging markets. Why that could be good news for equities and credit markets.
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Special Episode: 2021 Global Outlook | Morgan Stanley
While there is near-term risk of a pullback, CIO Mike Wilson sees a 10% gain for the S&P 500 in 2021. See why in On the Markets:
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MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes we should remain bullish long term due to improving economic data and positive earnings revisions, which support his expectations for a V-Shaped recovery. Learn more.
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GIC Investment Perspectives December 2020 - 1410657
On this special edition of the podcast, we discuss the outlook for sustainability and ESG investing in 2021 with some key themes for investors to watch.
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What’s in Store for ESG Investing? | Morgan Stanley
Stocks may seem elevated, but we believe this bull market has a long way to run in time and price. Learn more:
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As Congress and a new administration ponder new stimulus to navigate the pandemic, what will 2021 look like for FX and government bond markets?
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Rates and FX Markets Eye the U.S. Policy Path | Morgan Stanley
MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson believes the Fed's unprecedented response, in conjunction with Congress, has driven a remarkable recovery from the depths of this recession. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives January 2021 - 1419805
As we saw in January, an increase in speculative trading can fuel gains as well as losses. Read more in On the Markets:
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New bull markets typically begin when a recession has ended and usually run for years not months, says MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives February 2021 - 1430381
Will Space be the disruptor of all disruptors? And how will the post-pandemic economy affect labor markets in Europe and inflation in the U.S.? Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market Podcast. Listen for short, thoughtful takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Thoughts on the Market Podcast | Morgan Stanley
Interest rates tend to be slower to react to positive events than stocks, which helps explain why rates are rising lately. Read more in On the Markets:
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The biggest risk to equities and other long-duration risk assets will come from the interest rate channel, says MS & Co. CIO Mike Wilson. Learn more:
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GIC Investment Perspectives March 2021 - 1439432
The current correction may be driven in part by the rise in U.S. Treasuries yields, but Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson still sees a bull market in the value and more cyclically exposed equity categories.
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Still a Bull Under the Hood | Morgan Stanley
What are the potential impacts of the new administration's infrastructure and environmental agenda? Will higher interest rates lead to inflation? Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market Podcast. Listen for short, thoughtful takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Thoughts on the Market Podcast | Morgan Stanley
Could there be a tougher road ahead for small caps? How long will it take to achieve herd immunity to COVID-19? Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market Podcast for short, thoughtful takes on recent events in the markets from a variety of voices within Morgan Stanley.
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Thoughts on the Market Podcast | Morgan Stanley
